Feb 22, 2015 the annual energy outlook reflects our best effort to describe a most likely trajectory of the global energy system, based on our views of likely economic and population growth, as well as developments in policy and technology. Regional insights data tables country insights data tables definitions energy consumption by fuel energy consumption by. The wca supports bps assessment that there will be a marked growth in demand for energy over the coming decades driven by demographic and economic trends in emerging economies, particularly in southeast asia. This years outlook reveals that global energy demand continues to grow but that growth is slowing and will mainly be driven by emerging economies led by china and india. We project that by 2035 global energy consumption increases by 37% from todays levels with virtually all 96% the growth in nonoecd countries and more than half coming from india and china. Bp s statement that the base case is the most likely path for energy to 2035 is at odds with. Global energy intensity in 2035 is half of what it was in 1995 and 36% lower than 20. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Global energy trends liquid fuels natural gas coal and nonfossil fuels carbon emissions and the fuel mix conclusion energy outlook 2035 bp 2014.
Energy information administration of the outlook for energy markets through 2050. Welcome to the 2012 edition of bps energy outlook 2030. Bp energy outlook 2035 shows positive trends for vista by published. Energy consumption outlook energy production outlook. Renewable energy, excluding hydroelectric power, is expected to almost triple its share by 2035, but still only represent just 8 percent of global supply. Jan 17, 2014 can we sever the link between energy and economic growth. Feb 07, 2014 bp energy outlook 2035 shows positive trends for vista by published. According to the long term projections of global energy markets elaborated by bp one of the worlds leading international oil and gas companies global energy demand will rise by 41% between 2011 and 2035 but with gradually moderating pace. Energy consumption outlook energy production outlook according to the long term projections of global energy markets elaborated by bp one of the worlds leading international oil and gas companies global energy demand will rise by 41% between 2011 and 2035 but with gradually moderating pace. Bp energy outlook 2035 what factors will shape energy markets over the next 20 years. Natural gas is the only fossil fuel with a growing share of global energy, and natural gas is poised to replace oil as the leading fuel in u. Bp energy outlook 2030 energy information administration.
Bp sees us shale output holding steady us shale production will remain near present levels for the next 20 years, but a slowdown in output from 2035 will see demand for opec crude rise, bp said in its energy outlook 20 2035, released earlier this week. Global energy consumption by fuel renewables hydroelectricity nuclear coal natural gas oil 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 2012 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035. Global energy demand is expected to increase by around 30 percent between 2015 and 2035, an average growth of 1. The annual energy outlook reflects our best effort to describe a most likely trajectory of the global energy system, based on our views of likely economic and population growth, as well as developments in policy and technology. The bp energy outlook explores the most likely trends in energy markets over the next twenty years.
The bp energy outlook 2035 is our 2014 projection for the worlds energy future. Yesterday, bp published its most recent energy outlook, in which it highlights the most likely path for the global energy landscape. Global primary energy consumption in 2035 14 figure 12. Jan 26, 2017 yesterday, bp published its most recent energy outlook, in which it highlights the most likely path for the global energy landscape. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties surrounding that transition. Although not exactly the darlings of the sri community, bp should none the less be congratulated for offering investors useful insight into the world of big oil and for making a plethora of data and analysis available to download.
In the wake of royal dutch shells november 2016 announcement that oil demand could peak in five years, investors will scrutinise bps views on oil in particular. The outlook reveals that global energy consumption is expected to rise by 41 per cent from 2012 to 2035 compared to 52 per cent over the. Bp4 energy outlook 2018 evolving transition to 2040 equinor5 energy perspectives 2018 reform, renewal, rivalry to 2050. In all the scenarios considered, world gdp more than doubles by 2040, driven by increasing prosperity in fastgrowing developing economies. This paper examines bps 2016 energy outlook to 2035 and analyses key themes. Jbs news renewable energy here is a full page of bp pdf s and some. According to the report fossil fuels are expected to remain the dominant form of energy powering the global expansion. Please use these links or the tabs at the bottom to navigate between the tables. Izabella kaminska highlights a fascinating chart from bps latest energy outlook 2035 report pdf. Primary energy consumption growth slows consumption by region ten year increments by region. This graph illustrates the extent to which bps energy outlook 2035 sees renewable energy sources having a meaningful impact in the years ahead source. Also, at the bottom of the page for comparison purposes are links to the royal dutch shell new lens scenario information and pdf downloads. Bp energy outlook 2035 shows more work needs to be done on. I take great pleasure in inviting you to attend the presentation that will be given at secretariat headquarters on.
The csis energy and national security program hosted mark finley, general manager for global energy markets and u. What trends can we expect to see in supply and demand. And by 2035 could be exporting 9% of its total energy supply. The energy outlook is produced to aid bps analysis and decision making, and is published. Over at ft alphaville, izabella kaminska highlights a fascinating chart from bps latest energy outlook 2035 report pdf. If you come here often, you should tell us and the whole world, really about yourself in the bio section of your profile. Feb 17, 2015 how much energy do you think the world will need in 2035. How could agreements reached at cop21 affect energy consumption. Economics at bp, to present bp s energy outlook 2035.
The next generation of energy iii abstract the global energy landscape has experienced substantial changes over the last 25 years, with much larger changes potentially in store in the future. The annual energy outlook presents an assessment by the u. Bps corporate reporting regarding oil demand forecast to. Moreover, major share 95% of this growth will be ensured by the developing. Download the latest edition of the bp energy outlook, supporting resources or our country and regional insight factsheets. Electricity gas biofuels oil coal final energy use inputs to power0. While this message is not necessarily new we raised this in our initial view to 2035 series the outlooks have different takes on the size of china relative to other markets as you can see, bp has a higher view on chinas total energy demand by 2035 see point 1 in the chart above, which equals. The publication of bp s energy outlook provides an opportunity to step back from the here and now, and consider some of the lessons and insights the outlook contains about where energy is heading over the next few decades. The other outlooks agree that chinas demand profile is moderating long term, including wm ems. Below are comments from benjamin sporton, chief executive, world coal association, following the launch of bp energy outlook to 2035 pdf.
Eia, international energy outlook 2017 6 32% 31% 15% 15% 12% 3% 10% %400 3% 14% 25%. Welcome to the 2014 edition of bp s energy outlook. Gas grows more quickly than oil and coal, led by us. World energy demand is projected to be 37% higher in 2035 with india and china accounting for half the growth. This years outlook reveals that global energy demand continues to grow but that growth is slowing and will mainly. However, global energy use per capita is projected to increase by 12%. How much energy do you think the world will need in 2035. Jan 31, 2017 global energy demand is expected to increase by around 30 percent between 2015 and 2035, an average growth of 1. Bps statement that the base case is the most likely path for energy to 2035 is at odds with. Global energy demand energy consumption by region billion toe bp growth in gdp and primary energy % per annum oecd asia 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035.
I am glad to see this decision w as endorsed by the response we received to last years edition, which was downloaded over 36,000 times from bps website. The bp energy outlook for 203 5identifies longterm energy trends, and then develops projections for world energy markets to 2035. Global energy demand to grow 30% by 2035 bp energy outlook. Bp energy outlook 2035 shows positive trends for vista. Bp have this week published their fourth energy outlook. According to bp s energy outlook, fossil fuels will continue to provide most of the worlds energy, supplying 81 percent of global supply in 2035. For energy markets, growth is no longer just about china. Liquefied natural gas developments and market impacts. Bp publish 2017 energy outlook blue and green tomorrow. Estelle baylis, bp energy outlook 2035 infographic on vimeo. This graph illustrates the extent to which bp s energy outlook 2035 sees renewable energy sources having a meaningful impact in the years ahead source.
Get the answers to those questions and many others here. By sector, inputs to power generation account for nearly 60% of the growth. The outlook also examines the challenges of the energy transition underway, including how to meet the worlds increasing demand for energy while also reducing carbon emissions. Reading this years outlook, a core theme is the speed of the transition underway. According to bps energy outlook, fossil fuels will continue to provide most of the worlds energy, supplying 81 percent of global supply in 2035. The primary driver of this growth for the first half of the outlook period is the us, with china contributing the most to. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market. January 2017 this workbook contains information presented in the 2017 edition of the bp energy outlook 2035 which can be found on the internet at. Mar 30, 2015 the recent bp energy outlook, just published last month, offers a harsh dose of reality, and makes grim reading for the greenies. British oil giant bp has issued its energy outlook 2016, forecasting how the energy landscape will look between now and 2035. Can we sever the link between energy and economic growth. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics bp.
Bp energy outlook 2035 and royal dutch shell new lens. In the evolving transition scenario this improvement in living standards causes energy demand to. A read is counted each time someone views a publication summary such as the title, abstract, and list of authors, clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the fulltext. Jan 15, 2014 the bp energy outlook 2035 is our 2014 projection for the worlds energy future. It shows how rising prosperity drives an increase in global energy demand and how that demand will be met over the coming decades through a diverse range of supplies including oil, gas, coal and renewables.
In the evolving transition scenario this improvement in living standards causes energy demand to increase by around. Bp energy outlook forecasts big increase in co2 emissions. The bp energy outlook evaluates different aspects of the energy transition and highlights key issues and uncertainties of the transition. At this event, bps mark finley discussed some of the key issues that will shape energy supply and demand through 2035 and explored possible alternative outcomes. Energy outlook 2030 5 bp 2011 industry and power generation dominate energy growth billion toe growth of world energy consumption 201030 billion toe by sector and region by sector and fuel0. The bp energy outlook 2035, published this week, contributes to the wider debate on global energy issues by asking key questions. Share denver, co, feb 07, 2014 marketwired via comtex on january 15, 2014, bp formerly british. Meanwhile, china overtakes the eu as the worlds largest importing. By 2035, the worlds population is projected to reach 8. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices.
Interesting but scary bp energy outlook 2035 sri services. Securing the energy basket by optimizing resource potential. Jun 15, 2017 as you can see, bp has a higher view on chinas total energy demand by 2035 see point 1 in the chart above, which equals around a 28% share of total energy demand globally. Bp energy outlook forecasts big increase in co2 emissions by 2035. Renewables, with nuclear and hydroelectric power, provide half of the additional energy required out to 2035. What impact would a slowdown in global economic growth have on energy demand. Current estimates project that oil production would reach 1. Energy outlook watch the bp energy outlook 2035 february 2015 video, containing our projections of longterm energy trends. Gross domestic product gdp is expressed in terms of real purchasing power parity ppp at 2010 prices. Economics at bp, to present bps energy outlook 2035. Chart data can be accessed by rightclicking the chart in the ppt file. Published for the 4th time, the annual energy outlook reflects our best effort to describe a most likely trajectory of the global en ergy system, based on our views of likely. This report provides an analysis of longterm energy projections from governmental.
This is the second year in which bp has made our outlook for global energy available to the public. Energy insights global downstream model may 2019, bp global energy outlook feb 2019, exxonmobil outlook for energy feb 2018, iea world energy outlook oct 2018, equinor energy perspectives may 2018, shell scenarios apr 2018 exxonmobil 0. Fossil fuels remain the dominant source of energy powering the world economy, supplying 60% of the energy increase out to 2035. Bp forecasts that, by 2035, oil will account for 30 % of u. The primary driver of this growth for the first half of the outlook period is the us, with china contributing the most to growth by 2035. According to bps energy outlook, fossil fuels will continue to provide. The recent bp energy outlook, just published last month, offers a harsh dose of reality, and makes grim reading for the greenies.
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